Box 3 2026 (Current) vs Box 3 2028 (Proposed)

Compare the current deemed returns Box 3 wealth tax system in the Netherlands for 2026 with the proposed 2028 actual returns system.

Last Updated: July 4, 2026 Reviewed & verified by Galvin Mendonca, Finance Researcher

Interactive Comparison Simulator

Adjust the variables below to simulate outcomes, compare rates, and see real-time projections.

Side-by-Side Comparison

A direct comparison of features, rules, limits, and eligibility requirements.

Feature / DetailBox 3 2026 (Deemed Return)Box 3 2028 (Actual Return)
Tax Rate
36% on Deemed Return
36% on Actual Return
Deemed Savings Return
1.28%
N/A (taxed on actual return)
Deemed Investment Return
6.00%
N/A (taxed on actual return)
Tax-Free Allowance (Heffingsvrij Vermogen)
€59,357 (€118,714 partner) on wealth
€1,800 (€3,600 partner) on return
Tax Due on Loss Years
Can invoke Rebuttal Scheme (tegenbewijsregeling) to declare actual loss and pay €0 tax
No (€0 tax if no positive return)
Unrealized Gains Tax
No (only taxed on deemed return regardless of actual appreciation)
Yes (paper gains are taxed annually even before sale)
Debt Deduction Calculation
Debt assigned negative deemed return (~2.5%) which offsets positive deemed returns on assets
Actual interest paid is deducted from actual return
Asset Mix Flexibility
Different deemed rates for savings (1.28%) vs investments (6.00%)
Single actual return rate (all assets treated equally)
Recordkeeping Requirement
Minimal (only year-end balance declarations)
Extensive (must track all transactions, dividends, and gains)
Fairness in Bear Markets
Unfair (pay tax even on negative returns)
Fair (no tax if no gain)
Fairness in Bull Markets
Fair (capped at 6% deemed regardless of actual 20%+ gains)
Unfair (pay 36% tax on unrealized paper gains)
International Compliance
Under legal challenge (violates ECHR fair taxation principles)
Aligns with EU actual return taxation principles

Pros & Cons Breakdown

Analyze the advantages and drawbacks of each financial product before making a decision.

Box 3 2026 (Deemed Return) Pros & Cons

Advantages

  • Simple to declare as actual administration and transaction tracking are not required—just report your January 1 balance
  • No tax on paper/unrealized capital gains during high growth years—capped at 6.00% deemed return regardless of actual 20%+ market gains
  • Predictable tax bill that can be estimated at year start based on your wealth balance
  • Lower administrative burden for taxpayers with complex international portfolios or multiple asset types
  • Beneficial for high-return investors: if your portfolio returns 15%+ annually, you only pay tax on 6% deemed return
  • Can invoke Rebuttal Scheme (tegenbewijsregeling) to pay €0 tax if your actual return is negative or below the deemed return

Disadvantages

  • High fictive return (6.00%) creates massive tax burden on cash-heavy assets like savings accounts earning only 1-2% interest
  • Debt receives only ~2.5% negative deemed return, not the full 6% investment rate—less favorable than expected
  • Legally challenged by European Court of Human Rights (ECHR)—ruled as violating fair taxation principles in Christmas Ruling 2024
  • Penalizes conservative investors holding large cash buffers or low-risk bond portfolios
  • Unfair wealth erosion during inflation—your real purchasing power declines but you still pay tax on deemed gains
  • Rebuttal Scheme requires extensive documentation to prove actual returns, creating administrative burden if you need to invoke it

Box 3 2028 (Actual Return) Pros & Cons

Advantages

  • You pay €0 tax if your investments did not generate profit or lost value—fair treatment during bear markets
  • Brings fairness by taxing actual gains instead of arbitrary estimates or fictional returns
  • Aligns with European Union taxation principles and ECHR fair taxation rulings
  • Eliminates the perverse incentive to hold all savings in cash to avoid the 6% deemed investment rate
  • More equitable for conservative investors and retirees relying on low-risk savings
  • Allows full deduction of actual debt interest paid from your actual returns

Disadvantages

  • Taxes unrealized capital gains (vermogensaanwasbelasting), forcing you to pay tax on paper gains before selling the asset
  • Requires complex accounting and receipt tracking for all dividends, interest, capital gains, and transactions throughout the year
  • Potential liquidity issues—you may owe large tax bills on paper stock gains without having sold anything to generate cash
  • Higher administrative costs and potential need for tax advisors to properly calculate actual returns
  • Penalizes buy-and-hold investors who experience large unrealized appreciation but prefer not to sell
  • Lower tax-free return allowance (€1,800 single / €3,600 partner) compared to wealth-based allowance (€59,357 / €118,714)
  • Investment costs (brokerage fees, custody fees, advisory fees) are NOT deductible—only debt interest qualifies

The Verdict

The proposed 2028 system is fairer for loss years, but taxes paper gains in bull markets.

Under the current 2026 system, a high deemed rate of 6.00% creates a heavy tax bill regardless of market returns. The proposed 2028 system solves this by taxing actual returns, but its inclusion of unrealized gains (vermogensaanwasbelasting) means savers will pay tax on market swings before they cash out.

Choose Box 3 2026 (Deemed Return) if...

Savers with high actual investment returns that far exceed the 6.00% deemed rate.

Choose Box 3 2028 (Actual Return) if...

Risk-averse investors or those holding assets in low-performance periods.

Frequently Asked Questions

Advertisement